Factors That Can Influence the Profitability of a Forex Carry Trade

Today, a lot of traders around the world use stock brokers and online stock trading sites. Because of this, it has become important for these traders to know how to calculate profit and loss. Although most online trading platforms strictly calculate losses and gains, employed leverage and account balances, it still helps to know these calculations so you are able to properly plan future transactions and estimate possible losses or gains. Also, knowing the difference between gain and loss can be crucial when you are trying to gauge your risk tolerance.


When you are looking to make money on the stock market, you are not always dealing with 100 shares of one company. Instead, you may be dealing with hundreds, thousands, or even millions of shares of stocks. Therefore, calculating profit and loss is not always simple. For instance, if you are planning to place a trade that pays you ten shares of one stock, you need to figure out how much you would stand to gain or lose upon that transaction. You do this by calculating the amount of your margin: the amount of money you put up with a broker or online trading site as collateral when you place a trade.

What happens if you lose the trade? Your loss will offset your profit. However, what happens if you win the trade and earn more money than you placed as collateral? In that case, you have potentially gained a margin deposit. Calculating profit and loss based on these two scenarios is impossible, but you can approximate these values using the following guidelines.

The most common method of determining profit and loss is the Notional Value and the Leverage Ratio. The Notional value is simply the current share price in US dollars. The leverage ratio uses the number of traders who are involved in the trade as the denominator. For instance, if there are 100 traders who are involved in the trade, the leverage ratio is 100/1000. This indicates that a trade has a very high potential to profit but also has a very high risk. To determine whether a trade has a higher potential to profit or risk, you should calculate its Notional Value in US dollars and then compare it to the current stock prices in the base currency that you are dealing with.

The second factor, the exchange rate, serves as an indicator of risk. When determining profit and loss, the transaction size or number of times the transaction is made, is usually not taken into consideration. Some traders worry that the smaller the transaction size, the greater the risk, but this is not necessarily true. The risk factor can be determined by dividing the amount of profit or loss by the exchange rate in US dollars. For instance, if you are trading in US dollars and the exchange rate is two dollars to one euro, you will profit about two percent.

On the other hand, if you are trading in Japanese yen and the exchange rate is one yen to one euro, you will profit about ten percent. This means that the size of the transactions will affect your profit or loss. You should however consider that if the exchange rate between the two countries is consistently strong, you will profit because Japanese yen are typically stronger than the euro.

The third factor is the high-interest rate factor. There are some traders who worry that low interest rates mean that there is no profit to be made on the transactions. This is not always true. Low interest rates may indicate that bank would be willing to give more credit lines to traders. This may mean that the bank is trying to attract new investments by offering low interest rates to new clients.

If this is the case, more traders may enter the market and this can raise the exchange rate and cause more traders to enter the market. More traders mean more chances for profit and losses. For this reason, profit and loss can be determined by looking at the interest rates. In addition to this, you should also look at other factors such as the amount of leverage that traders have access to. Leverage refers to the ability to carry on a trade and gain more money if the trade goes against the trader.